Comrades 2025: Silly Stats

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Performance by Star Sign

Now time to get onto the really serious statistics – how does your star sign impact your performance at the Comrades Marathon? Full disclosure: As a Taurus, I am naturally far too pragmatic, sensible and stubborn to believe in nonsense like astrology but thought I’d humour the gullible Pisces and Cancerians out there.

Libras are the fastest to qualify and the fastest on the day, Sagittarian entrants are the most likely to arrive at the start and Pisces have the best chance of finishing. I have deliberately used a scale that that makes minor differences look statistically significant.

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Comrades 2025: Full Field Stats

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From the Cradle to the Grave

The graph below is a hurricane funnel answering the often-asked question, “What happens to all the entries?”, plotting the fate of the 24,173 Comrades 2025 entries. There was a 6% attrition rate on qualification and 13.2% to get to the start line. This is significantly lower than in recent years with the more relaxed qualification times playing a role.

I’ve included three percentages for comparison – they are based on total entries, total starters and total finishers respectively (e.g. 3.2% of entries finish under 7h30, 3.6% of starters and 4.2% of medallists). A much more detailed analysis on the medal breakdowns as well as overall finish success rates comparisons are available later within this article.

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Comrades 2025: Qualifier Marathon Stats

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Getting Provincial

Whilst 38% of the field comes from Gauteng, only 24% use marathons within the province to qualify. KZN are more parochial with 18% of the field and 16% using the province for qualification purposes. Many runners travel for their qualification marathon with the Western Cape (9% of entrants but over 20% of qualifiers) and Mpumalanga (4% of entrants but almost 15% of qualifiers) getting most of the tourism benefit.

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Comrades 2025: Shoe Stats

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Asics retains their dominant the market share with 1 in 3 medallists stomping down to Durban in their footwear. In 2024 Adidas and Nike were joint second on 16% but the three-striped brand moves into clear second with a rapid rise to 22%. The Nike wearers who’d just done it in 2024 are now either in a period of ultra abstinence or have swapped brands dropping them to 13%, narrowly ahead of New Balance with 11%. The rise of Adidas and fall of Nike is marked by a comparison 2022: Adidas have moved from 11 to 22% and Nike from 20 to 13% in just three years. Over half the finishers (55%) cross the line wearing one of the two A-brands and combining the two N-brands brings this to 4 out of 5 finishers.

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Comrades 2025 Runner Stories: A 24 minute negative split for an 11:59:38 finish

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One of the Comrades stats I am interested in every year is, “Who goes through Drummond the slowest and still earns a medal?”

There are usually just a handful of people who go through Drummond and cross the finish line under 12 hours and someone going through Drummond over 6h10 and earning a medal is a rarity. This year the distance from the Drummond timing mat to the finish meant that the second ‘half’ was 380m longer making a negative split an even more impressive feat.

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Maretha & her medals (An outlier amongst Outliers)

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Maretha was a good athlete at school specialising as a 100m sprinter. She played first team netball at Hoërskool Roodepoort and earned provincial colours for athletics. As her 21st birthday approached, she had an unusual birthday present request – a half marathon entry. Her dad was happy to oblige – they travelled down to the Cape and ran the 2010 Two Oceans half marathon together finishing in 2:11:38 and, despite not being able to walk properly for two weeks afterwards, Maretha’s love of distance running was born.

Maretha (on the right in a blue shirt) finishes her first half marathon as her 21st birthday present of choice with her dad (on the left in the white shirt).
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From Gunshot to Glory: Prince’s Brave Comrades Journey

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On a Tuesday evening in Ivory Park, Tembisa just two weeks before Comrades, aspirant novice runner Prince Ṋemuṱanzhela was relaxing with his family at home. Comrades training is hard work and Prince had trained hard. It was now time to taper and get the body and mind ready for a first journey between Pietermaritzburg and Durban.

Prince was chatting to a friend while his wife Asnath was getting their two young children, a 12-year-old son and 4-year-old-daughter, ready for bed. Their eldest, a 19-year-old daughter, was also in the house. The relaxed atmosphere was shattered when two men with guns burst into the living room and started making demands.

Prince and his friend froze in shock and the armed robbers responded by shooting both men. Prince was shot through the right arm. He was lucky, the bullet went through his arm missing bone and arteries. His friend was not so lucky and was killed.

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Comrades 2025: Startline Stats

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Average Age

The average age of the class of 2025 is 44.5 – exactly the same as in 2024. Therefore, this is the joint oldest group of starters at any Comrades Marathon where age records exist. The average age of the Comrades runner has steadily increased since 1990 from 35 to over 44 post-Covid. This is going to be a problem for the future of the race if the trend continues.

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The Comrades 2025 Cutoffs are Perfect

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These cutoffs are perfect. No one should be using the cutoffs for pacing. If you make an in-race cutoff in the final minute you have 0% chance of earning a medal – I am willing to take any bet that there will be no one who makes an in-race cutoff by 60 seconds or less and earns a medal. In fact, I’ll be surprised if anyone makes an in-race cutoff by 5 minutes or less and earns a medal. That is exactly the way it should be.

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Staggered Starts (Comrades introduces the Two Pot System)

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Just when South African runners thought it was safe to go back onto the internet after Cape Town Marathon’s new race date announcement, the Comrades Marathon decided it was time to get their share of the social media limelight with the announcement of staggered starts for the first time in the race’s 104-year-old history.

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