Two Oceans 2026 Cutoffs (and why they don’t matter)

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No one has written more about cutoffs than I have. I covered the empty finish line at Comrades 2023 (and kept pushing until we finally got an apology and some recompense for the runners seven weeks later), then came Two Oceans’ own cutoff debacle in 2024 (and the resultant post-race digimag update scandal that followed) and in 2024 Comrades were determined to repeat their same mistake until I threatened them with actuaries (and a spread bet) before they finally relented, added 10 minutes to the final cutoff at Mkondeni (which resulted in 117 additional runners earning their medal).

In short in-race cutoffs have come with a lot of drama at South African ultra marathons in recent years but they shouldn’t. In-race cutoffs should be boring. And at Two Oceans 2026 I am hoping that we achieve this goal.

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Comrades 2022 Overall / Full Field Race Stats

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This is part of a trilogy of articles providing an in-depth statistical analysis of Comrades 2022. The articles on Elite Men and Elite Women are also available.

Getting to the Start

The graph below is a hurricane funnel answering the often-asked question, “What happens to all the entries?”

16479 enter, 1688 don’t bother to submit a qualifier, 661 don’t make it to registration, 916 collect their race pack but don’t start and 1503 fall on the road to Durban leaving us with 11711 Comrades 2022 finishers.

Note: The finisher numbers are for all people earning that medal or better. For example, the ‘Vic Clapham’ 11711 are all finishers (i.e. 12 hours or better) and the ‘Bronze’ 7632 is everyone finishing 11 hours or better (i.e. it includes all Bronze, RM, BR, etc. medals).
Continue reading “Comrades 2022 Overall / Full Field Race Stats”
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Comrades 2019: Mens Elite Field (All the Stats)

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The 94th Comrades Marathon and 48th Up Run was held on 9 June 2019. This is a stat by stat account of the Men’s Elite section of the race – with a few anecdotal interludes thrown in to break the statistical monotony.

The Gold Standard

Click to expand.

The race starts at a fast pace but everyone (other than a few naïve television commentators) knows that the first half of the Up Run is for the television cameras, the second half is where the medals are earned. Continue reading “Comrades 2019: Mens Elite Field (All the Stats)”

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